Welcome to My Blog

Articles and advice on all things legal

Snippet 2024 – 5

Business Trends: Our SARB Governor says that our economy is not growing – at 0.6% growth thus far this year – and our living standards are falling.Taking inflation into account it is said that South Africans now earn on average what we did in 2006. Growth is limited...

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Economy/business Trends: Inflation is easing (The Shisa Njama index says so!) but our consumers are not generally in great shape.Consensus holds that the first six months of this financial year will be much like the end of last year – we had narrowly escaped...

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Business and economy The good news (ignoring angst): The inclusion of this portion of my newsletter was prompted by my perception, 28 years ago, that most attorneys are ignorant of business principles and the economy that underlies business. I suspect that times may...

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Business Trends: The Reserve Bank six-month business cycle indicator has contracted for the first time since May, which points to an economic decline in the months to come. Eina! Our Rand exchange rate weakened on (so say the learned ones) the back of investors...

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Economy and business Trends: The UN says that our estimated growth for this year will be only 0.5%. Interestingly, it warns against debt sustainability, with 18 African countries recording debt-to-GDP ratios of over 70% – we are there! Inflation: our inflation edged...

Snippet 2023 – 21

Economy & Business; Trends: The ABSA PMI for Q3 was downbeat with October at 45.4 (where 50 is neutral). Similarly, it’s Business Confidence index stood at 31 points. Not much good in this. However, there is some good news: The AG reported a noticeable improvement in...

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Economy & Business; Trends: Hearteningly, there appears to be green shoots in what had been rather dismal financial predictions of late. Y-o-y private sector capital expenditure in the last quarter is up by almost a third, FDI has been boosted by our clean-tech drive,...

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Economy & Business; MTBPS Budget: Our Medium-Term Budget Policy Statement has come and gone and there is little to be said about our economy which is not common news. The following is our Finance Minister’s part-solution to the problem: “We propose a strategy of...

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Economy & business; Trends: Times are tough, financially speaking, in South Africa today. This is reflected in Famous Brands’ (think Steers, Debonairs, Wimpy, Mug & Bean, FishAways etc.) drop in earnings of late. Government spending and income has been much in the...

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Economy & business Trends Our exchange rate was trading at its worst level against the dollar since early June this week past. This prompted one writer to start talking currency crash; down from R13.7 in mid-2021 to a current level of about R19.1 to the US $. Market...

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Economy and business Trends: There is little new to report, save to comment that our economy appears to be holding up better than one would have thought – inflation appears to be abating with core inflation dropping. The Rand has strengthened on the back of, amongst...

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Commercial and business Trends Our Rand exchange rate has been quite volatile of late and, aside from the accepted understanding that its value will depreciate against most major currencies, the last Big Mac Index report (before the Rand fell fairly dramatically)...

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Economy and business Trends: Our Rand flattered but deceived: it strengthened but is again weakening on the back of the usual including, surprisingly, a trade deficit. Our S&P PMI is down to its second-lowest level in two years and our manufacturing activity fell to...

Snippet 2023 – 13

Economy and business Trends: The African Development Bank opined that our GDP rate for this year should weaken to 0.2% – the IMF says 0.3%. Yawn. Noteworthy, however, is ADB’s footnote that South Africa is the worst GDP performer in the Southern African region for...

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Economy and business Trends: Our Consumer Confidence Index is at its second lowest level on record. For all practical purposes we are in a technical recession with low growth and high unemployment. Foreign investment in South African bonds is down, as may be seen from...

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Economy / Business Little interesting news is available on our economic front. The following graph gives our expected GDP growth by the IMF: Other than the dismal news above, is the introduction of a new economic index by, of all entities, Bloomberg. So much for the...

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Economy In GEAR? Definitely not: our state is flirting with a recession owing primarily to politics which restrict our growth possibilities. The latest and most visible of this is the possibility of a Putin pass-by which caused the Rand to tank as investors expect...

Snippet 2023 – 09

Economy and business Our economy is taking a pounding; this has happened before, but the greater threat is that our outlook for recovery is bleak. Consider the following graph and you will note that ours is the only one of the countries listed for which the IMF...